Monthly Archives: October 2009

Fall Back if You Must

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"When the little hand is on the 2...."

Welcome back to Arizona time, Montana, Utah, Nevada, Wyoming, Colorado, New Mexico, part of Idaho, part of Oregon, part of North Dakota, part of South Dakota, part of Nebraska, part of Kansas and Far West Texas.

If it seems kinda early, I suppose it is.  It’s only been two years since the Congress voted to extend Daylight Savings Time.  Starting in 2007 Daylight savings time starts on the second Sunday in March and ends on the first Sunday in November.  In 2009 that’s November 1st, and that’s just a few hours away!  You can stay up until 2am and set your clock back then and relive that hour.  You can “Fall Back” when you go to bed tonight and get up extra early.  Some choose to sleep the extra hour, which is always a good option.  Others forget and show up for church early.  Always good for a laugh.

What is the history of Daylight Savings Time?  I don’t really care, but you can read more about it here.

Of course living in Arizona, the time doesn’t change for us (except for the Navajo Nation, apparently).  We have the wisdom to stay on Mountain Standard Time year ’round.  People ask me sometimes why Arizona opts out of Daylight time and I always answer, “Because in the Summer when it’s 108, you want the Sun to go down!”   Essentially I believe that is why, but again, I am too lazy to look up the “real” reason.

One affect it does have on us here in AZ is TV programming. During the Summer we are Eastern Time minus 3 hours.   In the Winter, -2.  That means Monday Night Football will now start an hour later for us, etc.   This was really “fun” when I worked at Family Life Radio.  All of our programming shifted an hour to accommodate the rest of the network.  It caused a few scheduling headaches, but mostly it made me an expert on where Arizona stands time-wise with the rest of the country.

Enjoy your extra hour of sleep if you are falling back tonight.  Those of us in Arizona will carry on as usual.  Maybe we’ll call our east coast friend a bit more now too, since they won’t be going to bed when we get off work…. at least until March.

Will it freeze by morning in Tucson?

I’m thinkin’ maybe :-)

I was disappointed this morning.  NO freezing temperatures at the apartment in Oro Valley.  No official freezing temperatures at the Tucson International airport.  That would have tied the record and all that.  Sports has it’s records, well so does weather!  Usually not recognized as quite as exciting, but exciting to us weather freaks just the same.

Where was I?  Yes.  Freezing by morning.  Well, we were close this morning.  37 is the lowest I saw on my little indoor/outdoor thermometer (and we know how accurate those are!)  Some of the Mesonet sites around town had some right at freezing temps this morning, so there is hope.  The National Weather Service is repeating their Freeze Warning from 1am – 9am for Chocise, Graham, Santa Cruz and Eastern Pinal and Eastern Pima Counties.

It’s a similar setup tonight as last night.  Cold air (for this time of year) is in place.  Winds are dying down.  Dewpoint is low (12 degrees).  Clear skies.  It’s 50 right now at 8:06pm, so were talking 18 degrees in 11 hours or so.  I’m sticking with my first answer.  Maybe….

How Cold was it This Morning?

I’ll need to update this post later today once the official lows from the area start coming in.  Looks like some in Metro Tucson did dip to freezing this morning.  The airport where the official thermometer is, stayed just above.  I did a screen capture of this map of  the National Weather Service observation sites in the area.  This is from 7:30 this morning:

102909AMTemps

Oro Valley was at 35 and the thermometer closest to my apartment was as well.  At the time my outdoor thermometer was reading 37.  The airport was at 36.  If you follow I-19 down to Sahaurita you can see a 32.  There is another one in the foothills.  Lots of 33 and 35 scattered around the area as well.  This is just a snapshot at 7:30, so it’s possible that some of these temps bottomed out a degree or two or three lower.

I was surprised to see 35 at Mt. Lemmon!  It may be a false reading.  Notice 20 at nearby Scout Camp and 19 at the top of the Rincons!

Tucson Weather: October 29, 2009

Forecast: Sunny but cool.  Today’s high only near 60.  Not as windy as yesterday with winds 5-15 mph.  Freeze Warning tonight with temperatures in Tucson near freezing (makes sense).  Colder in Cochise County and some of the outlying areas around town.

It’s 6:30am as I am writing this and my thermometer is reading 38.  How disappointing!  I’m like a kid on Christmas when it comes to snow.  Less so on a possible early freeze, but still I did anxiously check the thermometer first thing when I got up and the disappointment is real.

There is still hope!  The temperature is still falling.  Although I don’t think we’ll drop 6 degrees in the next hour.  Also, tomorrow morning should be just as cold or maybe colder.  To me the cold is invigorating!  And while I don’t like to be cold, I like to be in the cold.  Also… freezing temperatures kill those pesky bugs!

More on this morning’s temps a little later.

Will it be freezing in Tucson by Sunrise?

I’m thinking yes!  Here’s why.  We have had cold air advection since the cold front passed through almost exactly 24 hours ago.  Today’s (October 28th) high was at midnight and didn’t rebound much from the morning temperature.  The afternoon high might have been 60, but most of the day was in the 50s with a chilly wind.  MUCH below normal for Tucson for October 28th.  More typical of Winter in Tucson rather than Fall.

The cold air has moved in now the skies have cleared and the wind has died down.  Perfect conditions for radiational cooling!  Also, the dewpoint is 10, so the air is dry.  The midnight temperature on my outside thermometer is reading 44 degrees.  Just 12 more to go in 6 or 7 hours.  I think we will make it here at the apartment in Oro Valley.  The National Weather Service is saying 34 for a low at the Tucson International Airport.  They have also issued a Freeze Warning for the entire area from 1am to 9am.

Some of the more favored areas should have no problem getting down to freezing such as outlying areas.  Some of the higher elevations as well, of course.  I’m thinking Oracle will shatter their record low of 31.  Also, low elevations like near the washes will be colder.  Cold air is heavier than the relatively warmer air around it, so the colder air drains into and pools in the low areas like washes.

The record low for Tucson on October 29th is 32 set in 1912.  We have a decent shot!  If not by morning, we can try again Friday morning.  Looks like another night near freezing before we warm up by early next week.

It was mostly cloudy most of the day
It was mostly cloudy most of the day
But it cleared up before sunset
But it cleared up before sunset

Tucson Weather: October 28, 2009

Tucson Weather: Becoming partly cloudy with a few showers possible.  Windy and cool with temperatures staying in the 50s for the most part.  Winds gusting to near 30 at times.  Freeze Warning tomorrow morning.  Skies becoming mostly clear tonight and winds dying down.  Lows in the low to mid 30s.

A strong cold front blew through last night and hit the apartment right at Midnight.  There were a few showers with it too.  It hadn’t rained in so long, I almost didn’t recognize the sound!  I think there was hail in it the way it was hitting the window.  Unfortunately, it wasn’t much rain.  I don’t think it was enough to even cover the ground.  At least not here.

The most exciting part of this storm is it’s strength.  The National Weather Service has been marveling for a few days now about how strong a storm this is for late October.  The Meteorologists have been saying this is more like a late November/early December storm!  Yesterday the talk was, would Tucson break the record for the coldest high on record for October 28th.  Doesn’t look like it.  The record is 61, I think.  Well, it was 68 here at the apartment when the front hit at Midnight so even though we will probably stay in the 50s today, the high at Midnight was too high.

The other cool news is this storm is bringing some mountain snow.  But, since it’s a dry system, not much.  Probably just a dusting to and inch or two on nearby Mt. Lemmon.  The White Mountains to the north-northeast may get a bit more.

The next big news is the cold air moving in.  The National Weather Service has issued a Freeze Warning for tomorrow morning.  Widespread freezing temperatures are expected in the morning for Cochise and Santa Cruz and Graham Counties for sure.  Easter Pinal and Eastern Pima too, although temps around Tucson Metro will be close.  Low to mid 30s for most of town, so your mileage may vary.  Outlying areas, low cold drainage areas like washes, and the Foothills have the best chance for a freeze in the morning.  This is pretty early for a first freeze for Tucson.  The average is November 24th!  The earliest on record is October 16, 1899.  Here are the numbers if you want to look at them in detail for yourself.

Tomorrow looks like another chilly day and Friday morning near freezing again.  Then a fast warm up back into the 80s by early next week.

Back to the Blog!

I’ve ignored mikeshaw.tv for too long.  You can blame Facebook if you want (I do), or maybe I’m just lazy, or perhaps it’s because I’ve started like 3 or 4 other blogs.  Whatever the excuse, I’m back. Back on mikeshaw.tv where I belong updating family and friends on what’s up.  There may be a few changes around here, but mostly I just want to blog.

Every morning for quite some time now, I get up, make some coffee, and then I update my Facebook page and twitter account with the “Tucson Weather.”  I’ve had quite a few comments from my Facebook friends that they appreciate the daily forecast.  I was thinking yesterday, as a very strong for October storm was approaching, that I would like to expound on the weather regularly in a blog format.  As I was trying to think of names for my blog I thought, “You know, I have mikeshaw.tv that I don’t do anything with.  Why not just use the weather category there (here).”  And with this post, a blog is reborn!

So.  I’ll still be updating Facebook and Twitter with the weather, but I will be expounding on it here.  I’ll be expounding on other stuff too.  See you soon :-)

Jesse Kelly on Mark Levin

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Kelly for Congress!

Jesse Kelly continues to get national coverage in his campaign against Gabrielle Giffords. He was on the Mark Levin show for a short and sweet interview about Southern Arizona politics, focusing on how Gabrielle Giffords pretends to be a “Blue Dog” Democrat when in reality, she voted for the so-called stimulus and Cap & Trade, and supports a public option in Obamacare.

I was able to record Mark Levin’s interview of Jesse Kelly and I share it with you now:

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Download (right click, “save link as”): JesseOnLevin100909.mp3

Don’t forget to visit Jesse’s web site: www.VoteJesseKelly.com